How crazy are these numbers?

North Carolina Senate:

Public Policy Polling. 9/27-28. Likely voters. MoE 4.5% (9/17-19 numbers)

Hagan (D) 46 (46)
Dole (R) 38 (41)
Cole (R) 6 (6)

North Carolina President:

Public Policy Polling. 9/27-28. Likely voters. MoE 4.5% (9/17-19 numbers)

Obama (D) 47 (46)
McCain (R) 45 (46)

As the diarist notes, Bill Clinton didn’t even win North Carolina in ’92 or ’96.  But with the economy the way it is, North Carolina has increasingly come into play and can probably be considered a swing state.

And Dole has to be worried.  This poll still probably needs to be verified by another yet before we can really be sure Hagan is in the lead, but things sure do look promising in Tarheel-land.

But in a larger sense, I think the combination of heightened black political engagement, more enthusiasm from younger white, working-class voters,

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